World Threats
Posted by Richard Radcliffe on January 5th, 2011
Debka is reporting that a major power struggle may be occurring in Iran between President Ahmadinejad and his supporters and the other power centers in Iran, especially the Majlis and the Expediency Council.
Please read the entire article for more important information.
Analysis. Our friends in Iran have reported to us the widespread bad effects of the reduction in the subsidies on basic commodities. Gas prices, bread prices and the prices of other staples have gone up sometimes 10 times their former prices. Transportation services at all levels are falling apart because taxis, trucks and other vehicles cannot afford to buy gas and cannot pass the increased fuel costs on to their customers. The unrest caused by the end of subsidies apparently rivals the unrest that occurred after the 2009 presidential election.
If the unrest continues to build, it is quite possible that the mullahs will dump Ahmadinejad in order to make some attempt to retain control of Iran. It was absolutely necessary that Ahmadinejad be elected President so that the Revolutionary Guards Corps could take all of the major cabinet posts and control the country for their benefit. Our information has been that large amounts of money have been redirected from the civilian economy into RGC projects and the pockets of the RGC leadership. The Iranian economy can no longer support these withdrawals when put in conjunction with the sanctions being applied to Iran by the Security Council and the additional sanctions applied by the European Union and the United States. Refined petroleum products were in short supply before the end of subsidies. Now they are unaffordable by those who need them most.It is doubtful that Ahmadinejad will give up the presidency voluntarily. At the moment it is difficult to tell whether he will replace the dismissed cabinet ministers with competent people or simply rearrange the deck chairs on the Titanic. The problem is that Ahmadinejad is a true believer in the Islamic revolution. His primary support is from ayatollahs who are in favor of assisting the return of the Hidden Imam. That requires major conflict. There has been little doubt for a long time that Iran has been preparing for war. I believe that Ahmadinejad will, with the support of ayatollahs like Mesbah Yazdi, attempt to create the conditions for the return of the Hidden Imam.
I believe an indicator that of this is that the Saudis have been buying a lot of weapons over the last year. They ordered 84 F-15S aircraft from McDonnell-Douglas and have now purchased the upgrade of 42 M1A2 tanks to the M1A2S configuration and the tools required to do the upgrades in Saudi Arabia. The last two contracts were awarded within the last week and only appeared on the DOD website today. The Saudis have been pressuring both the United States and Israel to destroy Iran’s nuclear sites for at least the last three years. If the Saudis are scared of Iran enough to buy all these weapons, perhaps we should take notice of that.
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