FRIDAY, JULY 30, 2010
Source: DALED AMOS
Obama Could Do Worse Than Reading This 30 Year Old Article About The Middle East
We keep hearing about Abbas being the head of the Palestinian Authority.
We are reassured that he is a moderate.
Israel is told that Abbas is the go-to guy that Israel must deal with in order to bring peace.
Bunk.
If Abbas has to go to the 22-member Arab League in order to get the OK to attend direct talks with Netanyahu, that is not a leader who is control.
In an interview last year, Olmert describes the real concessions he made to Abbas on land, Jerusalem, and refugees--and handed Abbas a map to sign that he agreed to a final peace agreement:
Daniel Pipes already wrote about this back in 1983. In How Important Is the PLO? he concludes:
Yesterday, we had one more example of just how right Daniel Pipes is.
In applying pressure to the Arab League, Obama may be getting an inkling to just how right.
And of how wrong his current Middle East policy is.
We are reassured that he is a moderate.
Israel is told that Abbas is the go-to guy that Israel must deal with in order to bring peace.
Bunk.
If Abbas has to go to the 22-member Arab League in order to get the OK to attend direct talks with Netanyahu, that is not a leader who is control.
In an interview last year, Olmert describes the real concessions he made to Abbas on land, Jerusalem, and refugees--and handed Abbas a map to sign that he agreed to a final peace agreement:
"He (Abbas) promised me the next day his adviser would come. But the next day Saeb Erekat rang my adviser and said we forgot we are going to Amman today, let's make it next week. I never saw him again."The point is that then, as now, Abbas is powerless to do anything without the agreement of the Arab world.
Daniel Pipes already wrote about this back in 1983. In How Important Is the PLO? he concludes:
Recognizing the critical role of Arab help has several implications for Middle East politics. First, it means that the PLO has very little of the political power so often ascribed to it. The PLO may appear to shape the policy of most Arab states, but in fact it reflects their wishes. It brings up the rear, echoing and rephrasing the weighted average of Arab sentiments. This suggests that it will moderate only when its Arab patrons want it to; so long as the Arab consensus needs it to reject Israel, the PLO must do so. Aspiring peacemakers in the Middle East must therefore not make settlement of the Arab-Israeli dispute contingent on PLO concurrence, for this is to give a veto to the organization least prone to compromise.Thanks to Soccer Dad for pointing out this Pipes article.
Second, while Arab rulers make the PLO rich and prominent, they also prevent it from becoming a representative body, an effective one, or a decent one. So long as it exists, the PLO will continue to ill-serve Palestinians by subordinating their interests to those of Qadhdhafi, Fahd, Asad, and Saddam Husayn. Do the Palestinians have an alternative to the PLO? Can they develop their own institutions, independent of the Arab states, which would cast off the PLO's illusory ambitions, discard its autocratic structure, accommodate Israel's existence, and promote practical interests? The "New Palestinian Movement" reportedly organized last fall in South Lebanon, the attempt of Palestinians living in the West to organize politically, or the efforts of West Bank mayors are moves in this direction. But their hopes of success must be slim, for no fledgling refugee organization has much chance against the weight of Arab consensus, which is still vested in the PLO.
Third, only the Arab states - and not Israel - can kill the PLO. By itself, Israeli force of arms, no matter how overwhelming, cannot crush this symbol of pan-Arabism; the PLO will last so long as it serves a purpose for the Arab states. The key Arab states (Syria, Iraq, Saudi Arabia) will join Egypt in recognizing Israel only when they have enough confidence in their own rule to dispense with hostility to Israel as a source of legitimacy; or when, as in Egypt, the endless futility of anti-Zionism makes it more of a political liability than a benefit. At that moment the PLO will lose both its support and its raison d'être.
Yesterday, we had one more example of just how right Daniel Pipes is.
In applying pressure to the Arab League, Obama may be getting an inkling to just how right.
And of how wrong his current Middle East policy is.
When I read that the "Arab League" had sent Obama a letter with their pre-conditions before Abbas can speak with PM Netanyahu and that if those conditions are met by Israel, then Abbas can sit down to talks of peace, I had similar thoughts - that Abbas cannot be considered a "leader" of the Palestinians. He is merely the so-called moderate set up by the West to be the spokesperson, even though he was rejected by the Palestinians for his corrupt dealings among his own people (PA's) who then voted for Hamas. (A vote that shocked the Bush administration!)
I suppose you could say Abbas is a "moderate" PA, compared to Hamas, but at the end of the day, they are all Palestinian Arabs, sucking the life out of the rest of the world, while expecting everyone to give in to their outrageous demands - demands that would leave Israel without an ounce of land, or the ability to secure whatever crumbs were left the Israelis after the Arabs finished grabbing the one tiny piece of land left to the Jews in the entire world!
Only those with the same intentions of the Palestinians are in agreement with their demands. Does that include the West? Time will tell and actions will speak louder than a bunch of hypocritical speeches on TV, in front of a teleprompter.
Bee
